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            The Rapp Up!  Just a Mirage?͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;͏‌&nbsp;
        
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Hello, <em>Rapp Up!</em> Readers!   In the coming weeks, we will take a deeper dive into important choices facing Virginians on election day.  And one of the most highly visible is the law on abortion.  </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Current Virginia law limits abortions in most cases to the first two trimesters.  Governor Youngkin says that is too long — and is busy promoting a <strong>15 week abortion limit</strong> — <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/virginia-gov-youngkin-eyes-15-week-abortion-ban-consensus-voters-will-rcna101476#" rel="nofollow" style="color:#085efc !important;">one that he argues represents a moderate consensus of Virginians.</a>   &nbsp;If, however, his party wins a majority in the legislature, will they support such a proposal — or will they pursue a more radical ban? And how likely will the Governor be to veto a radical bill?  </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">In short, is the Governor’s proposal a serious policy plan?  Or is it really intended to be an election campaign sound bite — one that will disappear like a mirage after Election Day?  Let’s take a look.  </p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="#0F597D" class="text-section section-content">
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      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>The Politics of a “Moderate” Abortion Ban</strong></p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
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    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell" style="padding-top:11px;padding-right:15px;padding-bottom:11px;padding-left:14px;color:#313131;background-color:transparent;">
      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">It is no secret of course that Governor Youngkin is pulling out all the stops to help his party win both houses of the Virginia legislature.  And it is also no secret that the GOP’s reputation for abortion extremism is a huge obstacle to winning centrist voters.  It therefore makes tremendous political sense for Youngkin to at least appear to be moderate on abortion.  And on paper, a headline goal of 15 weeks will look pretty moderate to many voters. After all, the vast majority of abortions occur before 15 weeks. </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">But there is just one problem…</p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="#0F597D" class="text-section section-content">
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      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>Republican legislators will certainly insist on a law more severe than 15 weeks</strong> </p>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"> And the Governor surely knows it.&nbsp; Here’s why:&nbsp;&nbsp;if  the GOP actually does take control of both houses of the legislature, the political game will change.&nbsp; No longer will it be a question of what <em>Virginia voters</em> want – after the election, they will be out of the picture.  Instead, it will become a question of what <em><strong>Republican legislators</strong></em> want.&nbsp; </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">At that point, extreme-right Republican legislators will certainly insist on something much harsher than 15 weeks.  In fact, <a href="https://www.axios.com/2022/06/25/abortion-illegal-7-states-more-bans-coming" rel="nofollow" style="color:#085efc !important;">18 other GOP controlled states&nbsp;have already passed legislation to ban abortion outright or at only 6 weeks of pregnancy, while only two GOP states have set the limit at 12 weeks. </a> So what are the chances of a GOP-controlled Virginia legislature agreeing to a 15 week bill? Very slim.  </p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0in;" class="">And if the GOP legislators do pass a law much harsher than the Governor has been recently promoting,  how will he react?&nbsp; Well, the Governor has previously said that he will <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/06/29/youngkin-abortion-life-conception/" rel="nofollow" style="color:#085efc !important;">“happily and gleefully”</a> sign <em>any </em>abortion ban passed by the Assembly.&nbsp;</p>
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      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>Compounding Tragedy: The Exceptions’ Problem</strong></p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
  <tbody><tr>
    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell" style="padding-top:11px;padding-right:13px;padding-bottom:11px;padding-left:11px;color:#313131;background-color:transparent;">
      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">A too-often ignored aspect of abortion law is what exceptions it allows when late-pregnancy problems arise?  What if there are complications that  affect the health of the mother or if serious fetus abnormalities are discovered?  Under current Virginia law, these difficult, often tragic,  decisions are largely in the hands of the parents and their doctors.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Youngkin’s public statements suggest he has little sympathy for parents forced to make difficult medical choices.  Although he has talked about exceptions for the health of the mother,  <a href="https://lis.virginia.gov/cgi-bin/legp604.exe?231%20sum%20SB1385" rel="nofollow" style="color:#085efc !important;">the 15 week bill introduced in the Virginia Senate last January</a>,  in fact allow exceptions (other than cases of rape and incest) only if continuation of the pregnancy will result in “<em>the death of the woman or <strong>substantially and irreversibly</strong> <strong>impair one or more of such woman's major bodily functions”</strong>.  </em>So what happens if you can’t be certain that the pregnancy <em>will </em>cause permanent damage?  And what if the fetus is discovered post 15-weeks to either not be viable outside the womb or would be born with fatal abnormalities?  Too bad.  The mother would have no choice but to carry the fetus to term.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Sound harsh?  In fact, this is the “moderate” bill.  The party’s right wing will certainly demand even more limited exceptions.</p>
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      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>Not Just About Abortion Access: The Felony Problem</strong></p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
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    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell" style="padding-top:11px;padding-right:13px;padding-bottom:11px;padding-left:13px;color:#313131;background-color:transparent;">
      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">And then there is the felony problem:  specifically the fact that any Republican bill will likely threaten medical professionals with a felony merely for using their best medical judgement.  What happens, for example, if a doctor decides that a pregnancy could permanently affect the health of the mother — but a zealous prosecutor disagrees?  Could that doctor will face a trial for criminal felony?  <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/doctors-face-tough-decision-leave-states-abortion-bans/story?id=100167986#:~:text=In%20interviews%20with%20ABC%20News,best%20care%20possible%20for%20patients." rel="nofollow" style="color:#085efc !important;">We know from the experience of other states what that will mean for our health care system</a>:  physicians will leave Virginia.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">In short, even a “moderate” Republican 15-week abortion ban would have consequences for the general public far beyond just those who actually seek an abortion.  </p>
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      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;text-align:center;" class=""><strong>Just A Mirage?</strong></p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content">
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    <td valign="top" class="section-text-area section-content-cell" style="padding-top:11px;padding-right:15px;padding-bottom:11px;padding-left:13px;color:#313131;background-color:transparent;">
      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:1.0625em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0in;" class="">The bottom line?  Governor Youngkin wants us to believe that his ideas represent a moderate approach to abortion, one that Virginians can come together to support.  If, however, his campaign is successful in obtaining GOP control of the Assembly, Virginians will almost certainly face severe new  restrictions - restrictions that will substantially change the state's health care environment, even for those who do not seek an abortion.  </p>
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